Complacency, The VIX is trading at levels not seen since 2020, Be Careful -Try the Limoncello

Kenny PolcariUncategorized

  Things you need to know. –        Stocks staged a 4-week rally that has seen the indexes gain more than 10%. –        Bonds back off just a bit, yields rise just a bit. –        Lots of eco data this week – Wednesday is the PCE report – the FED’s favored inflation gauge. –        Oil down, OPEC+ meeting scheduled for Thursday. …

Too Far Too Fast? Stocks, Bonds UP, Dollar Down, Oil Set to Recover?/Try the Stracciatella Soup

Kenny PolcariUncategorized

Things you need to know. –        It was another winning week $23 billion moves into stocks. –        Oil rallies AFTER the Saudi’s /OPEC+ hint of more production cuts! –        The dollar index gives back 100% of 2023 gains – as the narrative turns from rate hikes turn to rate cuts. –        Are we now in ‘overbought’ territory – have the …

Accentuate the Positive, Eliminate the Negatives – Try the Italian Style Sausage Stuffing

Kenny PolcariUncategorized

Things you need to know. –        Get ready for the 8:30 am CPI read – the best is for it to be weaker. –        Stocks ready to rumble…. You can just feel it…. –        Bond yields back off just enough yesterday, will they move lower today? –        Guess what?  China oil demand to hit a new annual RECORD! –        Try …

Bond Auctions Showing Cracks, Stocks remain Confused -Try the Scallops Bathed in Vermouth

Kenny PolcariUncategorized

  Things you need to know. –        Stocks remain confused – downs are dramatic, and ups are dramatic. –        Bond auctions show signs of weakness, sending yields up. –        Moody’s downgrades outlook to negative, leaves credit at Aaa. –        Gov’t shutdown looming, Can Mikey Johnson Save the Day? –        Try the Scallops bathed in Vermouth. Stocks rallied HARD on Friday…. …

JJ has a Wing Woman and a Wing Man Today, Stocks wait…- Try the Thighs Bathed in Herbs and White Wine

Kenny PolcariUncategorized

Things you need to know. –         The 10 yr. bond auction went off a bit weaker than expected – today is the 30 yr. auction. –         Are investors expecting a Harder landing or not? –         Nothing on the economic calendar that will drive the action. –         JJ to speak about Challenges for Monetary Policy. –         Barking & Logan to play …

Hello? Reality Check Aisle 2! Big Week for Treasuries – Try the Shells w/Sweet Sausage/Pancetta and Cannelloni Beans

Kenny PolcariUncategorized

Things you need to know. –         The rally fades – but that should not be a surprise –         Janet to bring $112 billion to the market this week – how will it be received? –         Gold down, Oil down as the War Risk Premium fades –         Shells w/Sweet Sausage, Pancetta and Cannelloni Beans Hello? Reality Check – Aisle 2……. What …

Rate CUTS now Expected in June 2024? Stocks & Bonds Surge – Try the Sicilian T-Bone

Kenny PolcariUncategorized

Things you need to know. –        NFP comes in better – so think bad news is good news for the markets. –        Traders/investors and Algo’s all betting that the FED is done. –        They are also betting on sooner than expected rate CUTS. –        Stock and Bond prices surge – yields collapse, VIX collapses –        Gold down small, oil is …